NBC News' Richard Engel explains the issues behind the battles in Beirut
Beirut has been experiencing some of the worst street fighting and sectarian clashes since Lebanon’s 15-year civil war.
Richard
Engel, NBC News’ Chief Foreign Correspondent, explains what sparked the
outbreak of violence and what the underlying issues are.
What does Hezbollah want?
In a word, Hezbollah wants power.
The
long-simmering crisis in Lebanon boiled when the government tried to
fire the director of security at Beirut's international airport. On the
surface it doesn't seem like a major incident. But Beirut's airport has
long been a key Hezbollah supply line, a gateway for weapons, funding
and personnel, mainly from Iran.
During the
2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah, Israeli jets quickly targeted
the airport to disrupt this supply line. The Lebanese government also
called to dismantle a private telephone network of fiber-optic lines
that Hezbollah uses to communicate with its fighters. The phone lines –
harder to monitor than cell phones – were key to Hezbollah's ability to
wage war against Israel.
Hezbollah
reacted decisively to the government's demands, declaring that control
of airport security and its phone network are vital to the group's
existence. Hezbollah maintains that its weapons (everything from
rockets and guns to bunkers and a telecoms network) are necessary to
protect Lebanon from Israel. Hezbollah was pushed, and pushed back
hard.
Why did Hezbollah take over most of Beirut?
Hezbollah
wants to discredit the government and show how much power and control
the Iranian-backed group truly exerts in Lebanon. Hezbollah wants to
prove that it is stronger than the government, which for now it seems
to be.
Hezbollah also moved to quiet a
rival political party, the Future Movement, which is allied to the
government. Hezbollah members see the Future Movement, and the
government in general, as a group of rich “upstarts” who talk, insult
their organization, but do little else.
Hezbollah
finds them annoying. At the start of the outbreak, Hezbollah gunmen
moved from their stronghold in southern Beirut and quickly took over
the Future Movement's offices and closed and burned its television
station. The upstarts were silenced.
While
some Lebanese, and clearly the government, accuse Hezbollah of
occupying Beirut, Hezbollah believes it is showing the world, and the
Lebanese people, who holds the real power in the country. It wants to
show that the government (which always claims to be backed by a
majority in Lebanon) is in fact a small, unpopular, weak group of
pro-American, pro-Israeli officials unable to even control the capital.
It was a power play.
So what happens next?
Watch
the small parties. Hezbollah and the government are only two of 18
political factions in Lebanon, most of them armed. There are militant
Christian groups, Palestinian radicals, al-Qaida, Druze militias and
even armed bands of Marxists still operating in Lebanon.
These
groups could, as they have in the past, start fighting among
themselves. If that happens, Hezbollah could sit back and position
itself as the “savior” of Lebanon, claiming to be the only party strong
enough to stabilize this troubled little nation. Hezbollah could say,
“We are the only ones who can stop a civil war.” The government will
say, “But you caused it.”
What is the army doing?
The
army is for now riding the tide, which seems to be going with
Hezbollah. The army has not intervened and mans checkpoints as
Hezbollah men takeover positions. The army has not been willing to stop
Hezbollah, or even tried. The army's loyalties are split between the
government and Hezbollah. Instead of collapsing, the army decided not
to back any side and watch what happens.
Can diplomacy work?
The
conflict in Lebanon is as much driven by outside interests as internal
rivalries for power. Iran and Syria back Hezbollah. The United States
(and to a degree Israel) back the Lebanese government.
The
Arab powers – mainly Syria, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan – worry
that if the government in Beirut falls, it will be seen as having been
toppled by Iran. The Sunni Arab states do not want Iran's influence to
spread any further in the Middle East, especially as Iran's power has
grown after the U.S. invasion of Iraq. There are calls for urgent
meetings of Arab foreign ministers. They meet often. Little gets done.
Meanwhile, Lebanon is sinking.
[an error occurred while processing this directive]